Group Draw Reaction, Advance Bets

It’s official – football bettors have all eight groups for the UEFA Champions League group stage.

Today in Istanbul, site of the 2023 Champions League final, UEFA have divided the 32 participants into eight groups of four. Highlights include powerhouses Bayern Munich, Barcelona and Inter Milan all in the same group, while reigning champions Real Madrid have drawn Red Bull Leipzig, Celtic and Shakhtar Donetsk.

With all the groups drawn, here are my first future group pieces for the first stage of the competition. Odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflected at the time of writing.

Ask these teams who they would have liked to see before the draw started and even I think they could not have imagined this scenario.

City are undoubtedly Group G class and have an offense to raze Borussia Dortmund, especially with former Dortmund striker Erling Haaland in the fold. Also, Sevilla are a fading team for me this Champions League season as they were a fraudulent team in La Liga last season, and are frankly lucky to even be in this competition.

Then there is Tottenham, another team victim of certain fraudulent groupings. Marseille drastically exceeded expectations in Ligue 1 last season, while Eintracht Frankfurt were a side in the bottom half of the Bundesliga who just happened to grab the Europa League. In management alone, Spurs have a huge advantage with Antonio Conte. Add to that a solid home field advantage and I project Spurs as -200 favorites to win this group (for reference – they are currently at -180).

Finally, there is Real Madrid. For me, the only real threat to the defending champions is RB Leipzig, but I expect manager Domenico Tedesco’s side to struggle to keep up with Real’s attack. Moreover, Leipzig’s defense is too open to have a chance of winning the group as Celtic and Shakhtar pay in comparison.

Back that bet at anything better than +135.

For me it’s purely a price game as you get 7/1 odds on one of the best teams in all of Europe.

Last season, the Nerazzurri finished with the best expected goal differential in Serie A a season after winning the league while producing the best xGDiff, per Moreover, in last year’s group stage, Inter led future champions Real Madrid at home and proved they were capable of hanging on to traditional powerhouses.

While I think it’s likely that Bayern Munich will eventually win this group – manager Julian Nagelsmann’s side have won their group each of the last four years – I have no interest in having -125 in a group with that many quality. Also, I still think the jury is out on this group from Barcelona. Personally, I rate Inter very slightly ahead of Barcelona, ​​so there’s an implied value to be had based on current prices.

Finally, the fact remains that Inter have the attacking ability to keep up with these two teams and if they can maintain home service and steal points from either of these two teams on the road, I think they win. this group more times than their implied percentage. (12.5 percent) indicates.

A lot has to go right for this to be successful, but I’m willing to play it at +550 or better.

The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator or gambling site. We provide this sports betting information for entertainment purposes only.

About Jessica J. Bass

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